Investment Intelligence When it REALLY Matters.
The Peter Schiff vs. Mike Stathis Scorecard (2006-2025)
The Numbers Wall Street & Financial Media Don’t Want You to See
Twenty years of data are in.
Peter Schiff’s forecasting accuracy is 4–6%.
Mike Stathis’s is 82–90%.
This isn’t a debate.
This is a documented, forensic comparison of 100+ dated forecasts, scored using institutional accuracy standards.
Hyperinflation calls? Wrong every time.
Dollar collapse? Never happened.
Treasury meltdown? Treasuries soared.
“Fed can’t hike”? Fed hiked 9 times.
Foreign stocks will outperform? They collapsed harder.
2009 rally “fake”? It was the generational bottom.
COVID crash worse than 2008? Fastest V-recovery in history.
2023 rally fake? New all-time highs.
A non-functional model.
A decade and a half of being wrong in the same direction.
Called the housing crash with exact percentages.
Named failing institutions before they failed.
Predicted the 2009 bottom near Dow 6,500.
Navigated QE with precision.
Predicted COVID crash — and the bottom.
Predicted 2022 bear market — before it hit.
Predicted 2023 bull.
Called every major regime shift from 2006–2025.
One of the most accurate forecasters of the modern era.
Censored because he destroys narratives, conflicts, and money-making funnels.
| Metric | Schiff | Stathis |
|---|---|---|
| Institutional accuracy | 4–6% | 82–90% |
| Miss rate | ~94% | ~7–10% |
| Portfolio performance impact | Negative | Strongly positive |
| Record on major turning points | 0/12 | 12/12 |
Schiff sells fear, which sells gold, ad funnels, and media views.
Stathis exposes conflicts, pump networks, marketing pipelines, and fake experts.
Accuracy does not sell.
Fear always sells.
Schiff is the entertainer.
Stathis is the analyst.
Schiff predicted the same collapse every year for 15 years.
Stathis predicted the right collapse at the right time — then predicted everything else.
Only one of them is a real forecaster.
And it’s not the one on TV.
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