How to Think Clearly

"Never argue with stupid people. They will drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience." –Mark Twain

If you want to fully understand and appreciate the work of Mike Stathis, from his market forecasts and securities analysis to his political and economic analyses, you will need to learn how to think clearly if you already lack this vital skill.

For many, this will be a cleansing process that could take quite a long time to complete depending on each individual.

The best way to begin clearing your mind is to move forward with this series of steps:

1. GET RID OF YOUR TV SET, AND ONLY USE STREAMING SERVICES SPARINGLY.

2. REFUSE TO USE YOUR PHONE TO TEXT.

3. DO NOT USE A "SMART (DUMB) PHONE" (or at least do not use your phone to browse the Internet unless absolutely necessary).

4. STAY AWAY FROM SOCIAL MEDIA (Facebook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Snap, Twitter, Tik Tok unless it is to spread links to this site). 

5. STAY OFF JEWTUBE.

6. AVOID ALL MEDIA (as much as possible).

The cleansing process will take time but you can hasten the process by being proactive in exercising your mind.

You should also be aware of a very common behavior exhibited by humans who have been exposed to the various aspects of modern society. This behavior occurs when an individual overestimates his abilities and knowledge, while underestimating his weaknesses and lack of understanding. This behavior has been coined the "Dunning-Kruger Effect" after two sociologists who described it in a research publication. See here.

Many people today think they are virtual experts on every topic they place importance on. The reason for this illusory behavior is because these individuals typically allow themselves to become brainwashed by various media outlets and bogus online sources. The more information these individuals obtain on these topics, the more qualified they feel they are to share their views with others without realizing the media is not a valid source with which to use for understanding something. The media always has bias and can never be relied on to represent the full truth. Furthermore, online sources are even more dangerous for misinformation, especially due to the fact that search algorithms have been designed to create confirmation bias. 

A perfect example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect can be seen with many individuals who listen to talk radio shows. These shows are often politically biased and consist of individuals who resemble used car salesmen more than intellectuals. These talking heads brainwash their audience with cherry-picked facts, misstatements, and lies regarding relevant issues such as healthcare, immigration, Social Security, Medicaid, economics, science, and so forth. They also select guests to interview based on the agendas they wish to fulfill with their advertisers rather than interviewing unbiased experts who might share different viewpoints than the host.

Once the audience has been indoctrinated by these propagandists, they feel qualified to discuss these topics on the same level as a real authority, without realizing that they obtained their understanding from individuals who are employed as professional liars and manipulators by the media. 

Another good example of the Dunning-Kruger Effect can be seen upon examination of political pundits, stock market and economic analysts on TV.  They talk a good game because they are professional speakers. But once you examine their track record, it is clear that these individuals are largely wrong. But they have developed confidence in speaking about these topics due to an inflated sense of expertise in topics for which they continuously demonstrate their incompetence.

One of the most insightful analogies created to explain how things are often not what you see was Plato's Allegory of the Cave, from Book 7 of the Republic.

We highly recommend that you study this masterpiece in great detail so that you are better able to use logic and reason.  From there, we recommend other classics from Greek philosophers. After all, ancient Greek philosophers like Plato and Socrates created critical thinking.   

If you can learn how to think like a philosopher, ideally one of the great ancient Greek philosophers, it is highly unlikely that you will ever be fooled by con artists like those who make ridiculous and unfounded claims in order to pump gold and silver, the typical get-rich-quick, or multi-level marketing (MLM) crowd.





STOP Being Taken

If you want to do well as an investor, you must first understand how various forces are seeking to deceive you. 

Most people understand that Wall Street is looking to take their money.

But do they really understand the means by which Wall Street achieves these objectives? 

Once you understand the various tricks and scams practiced by Wall Street you will be better able to avoid being taken. 

Perhaps an even greater threat to investors is the financial media.

The single most important thing investors must do if they aim to become successful is to stay clear of all media.

That includes social media and other online platforms with investment content such as YouTube and Facebook, which are one million times worse than the financial media.

The various resources found within this website address these two issues and much more. 

Remember, you can have access to the best investment research in the world. But without adequate judgment, you will not do well as an investor.

You must also understand how the Wall Street and financial media parasites operate in order to do well as an investor. 

It is important to understand how the Jewish mafia operates so that you can beat them at their own game.

The Jewish mafia runs both Wall Street and the media. This cabal also runs many other industries.

We devote a great deal of effort exposing the Jewish mafia in order to position investors with a higher success rate in achieving their investment goals.

Always remember the following quotes as they apply to the various charlatans positioned by the media as experts and business leaders.   

“Beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves.” - King James Bible - Matthew 7:15

"It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled." –Mark Twain

It's also very important to remember this FACT.  All Viewpoints Are Not Created Equal.

Just because something is published in print, online, or aired in broadcast media does not make it accurate. 

More often than not, the larger the audience, the more likely the content is either inaccurate or slanted. 

The next time you read something about economics or investments, you should ask the following question in order to determine the credibility of the source.

Is the source biased in any way?  

That is, does the source have any agendas which would provide some kind of benefit accounting for conclusions that were made? 

Most individuals who operate websites or blogs sell ads or merchandise of some kind. In particular, websites that sell precious metals are not credible sources of information because the views published on these sites are biased and cannot be relied upon.

The following question is one of the first things you should ask before trusting anyone who is positioned as an expert. 

Is the person truly credible?  

Most people associate credibility with name-recognition. But more often than not, name-recognition serves as a predictor of bias if not lack of credibility because the more a name is recognized, the more the individual has been plastered in the media. 

Most individuals who have been provided with media exposure are either naive or clueless. The media positions these types of individuals as “credible experts” in order to please its financial sponsors; those who buy advertisements. 

In the case of the financial genre, instead of name-recognition or media celebrity status, you must determine whether your source has relevant experience on Wall Street as opposed to being self-taught. But this is just a basic hurdle that in itself by no means ensures the source is competent or credible.

It's much more important to carefully examine the track record of your source in depth, looking for accuracy and specific forecasts rather than open-ended statements. You must also look for timing since a broken clock is always right once a day.  Finally, make sure they do not cherry-pick their best calls. Always examine their entire track record. 

Don't ever believe the claims made by the source or the host interviewing the source regarding their track record. 

Always verify their track record yourself. 

The above question requires only slight modification for use in determining the credibility of sources that discuss other topics, such as politics, healthcare, etc.

We have compiled the most extensive publication exposing hundreds of con men pertaining to the financial publishing and securities industry, although we also cover numerous con men in the media and other front groups since they are all associated in some way with each other.

There is perhaps no one else in the world capable of shedding the full light on these con men other than Mike Stathis.

Mike has been a professional in the financial industry for nearly three decades. 

Alhough he publishes numerous articles and videos addressing the dark side of the industry, the core collection can be found in our ENCYCLOPEDIA of Bozos, Hacks, Snake Oil Salesmen and Faux Heroes

Also, the Image Library contains nearly 8,000 images, most of which are annotated.


At AVA Investment Analytics, we don't pump gold, silver, or equities because we are not promoters or marketers.

We actually expose precious metals pumpers, while revealing their motives, means, and methods.

We do not sell advertisements.

We actually go to great lengths to expose the ad-based content scam that's so pervasive in the world today. 

We do not receive any compensation from our content, other than from our investment research, which is not located on this website. 

We provide individual investors, financial advisers, analysts and fund managers with world-class research and unique insight.







Media Lies

If you listen to the media, most likely at minimum it's going to cost you hundreds of thousands of dollars over the course of your life time.

The deceit, lies, and useless guidance from the financial media is certainly a large contributor of these losses.

But a good deal of lost wealth comes in the form of excessive consumerism which the media encourages and even imposes upon its audience.

You aren’t going to know that you’re being brainwashed, or that you have lost $1 million or $2 million over your life time due to the media.

But I can guarantee you that with rare exception this will become the reality for those who are naïve enough to waste time on media.

It gets worse.

By listening to the media you are likely to also suffer ill health effects through excessive consumption of prescription drugs, and/or as a result of watching ridiculous medical shows, all of which are supportive of the medical-industrial complex.

And if you seek out the so-called "alternative media" as a means by which to escape the toxic nature of the "mainstream" media, you might make the mistake of relying on con men like Kevin Trudeau, Alex Jones, Joe Rogan, and many others.

This could be a deadly decision. As bad as the so-called "mainstream" media is, the so-called "alternative media" is even worse.

There are countless con artists spread throughout the media who operate in the same manner. They pretend to be on your side as they "expose" the "evil" government and corporations.

Their aim is to scare you into buying their alternatives.  This addresses the nutritional supplements industry which has become a huge scam.  

 

Why Does the Media Air Liars and Con Men?

The goal of the media is NOT to serve its audience because the audience does NOT pay its bills.

The goal of the media is to please its sponsors, or the companies that spend huge dollars buying advertisements.

And in order for companies to justify these expenses, they need the media to represent their cause.

The media does this by airing idiots and con artists who mislead and confuse the audience.

By engaging in "journalistic fraud," the media steers its audience into the arms of its advertisers because the audience is now misled and confused.

The financial media sets up the audience so that they become needy after having lost large amounts of money listening to their "experts." Desperate for professional help, the audience contacts Wall Street brokerage firms, mutual funds, insurance companies, and precious metals dealers that are aired on financial networks. This is why these firms pay big money for adverting slots in the financial media.

We see the same thing on a more obvious note in the so-called "alternative media," which is really a remanufactured version of the "mainstream media." Do not be fooled. There is no such thing as the "alternative media."  It really all the same. 

In order to be considered "media" you must have content that has widespread channels of distribution. Thus, all "media" is widely distributed.

And the same powers that control the distribution of the so-called "mainstream media" also control distribution of the so-called "alternative media."

The claim that there is an "alternative media" is merely a sales pitch designed to capture the audience that has since given up on the "mainstream media."  

The tactic is a very common one used by con men.

The same tactic is used by Washington to convince naive voters that there are meaningful differences between the nation's two political parties.

In reality, both parties are essentially the same when it comes to issues that matter most (e.g. trade policy and healthcare) because all U.S. politicians are controlled by corporate America. Anyone who tells you anything different simply isn't thinking straight.

On this site, we expose the lies and the liars in the media.

We discuss and reveal the motives and track record of the media’s hand-selected charlatans with a focus on the financial media.  




 

Why Stathis Was Banned

To date, we know of no one who has established a more accurate track record in the investment markets since 2006 than Mike Stathis.  

Yet, the financial media wants nothing to do with Stathis.  

This has been the case from day one when he was black-balled by the publishing industry after having written his landmark 2006 book, America's Financial Apocalypse

From that point on, he was black-balled throughout all so-called mainstream media and then even the so-called alternative media. 

With very rare exception, you aren't even going to hear him on the radio or anywhere else being interviewed.  

Ask yourself why. 

You aren't going to see him mentioned on any websites either, unless its by people whom he has exposed.  

You aren't likely to ever read or hear of his remarkable investment research track record anywhere, unless you read about it on this website.

You should be wondering why this might be.

Some of you already know the answer.

The media banned Mike Stathis because the trick used by the media is to promote cons and clowns so that the audience will be steered into the hands of the media's financial sponsors - Wall Street, gold dealers, etc. 

Because the media is run by the Jewish mafia and because most Jews practice a severe form of tribalism, the media will only promote Jews and gentiles who represent Jewish businesses.  

And as for radio shows and websites that either don't know about Stathis or don't care to hear what he has to say, the fact is that they are so ignorant that they assume those who are plastered throughout media are credible.

And because they haven't heard Stathis anywhere in the media, even if they come across him, they automatically assume he's a nobody in the investment world simply because he has no media exposure.  And they are too lazy to go through his work because they realize they are too stupid to understand the accuracy and relevance of his research. 

Top investment professionals who know about Mike Stathis' track record have a much different view of him. But they cannot say so in public because Stathis is now considered a "controversial" figure due to his stance on the Jewish mafia. 

Most people are in it for themselves. Thus, they only care about pitching what’s deemed as the “hot” topic because this sells ads in terms of more site visits or reads.

This is why you come across so many websites based on doom and conspiratorial horse shit run by con artists.

We have donated countless hours and huge sums of money towards the pursuit of exposing the con men, lies, and fraud.

We have been banned by virtually every media platform in the U.S and every website prior to writing about the Jewish mafia.

Mike Stathis was banned by all media early on because he exposed the realities of the United States.

The Jewish mafia has declared war on us because we have exposed the realities of the U.S. government, Wall Street, corporate America, free trade, U.S. healthcare, and much more.

Stathis has also been banned by alternative media because he exposed the truth about gold and silver. 

We have even been banned from use of email marketing providers as a way to cripple our abilities to expand our reach. 

You can talk about the Italian Mafia, and Jewish Hollywood can make 100s of movies about it.

BUT YOU CANNOT TALK ABOUT THE JEWISH MAFIA.

Because Mr. Stathis exposed so much in his 2006 book America's Financial Apocalypse, he was banned.

He was banned for writing about the following topics in detail: political correctness, illegal immigration, affirmative action, as well as the economic realities behind America's disastrous healthcare system, the destructive impact of free trade, and many other topics. He also exposed Wall Street fraud and the mortgage derivatives scam that would end of catalyzing the worst global crisis in history. 

It's critical to note that the widespread ban on Mr. Stathis began well before he mentioned the Jewish mafia or even Jewish control of any kind.

It was in fact his ban that led him to realize precisely what was going on.

We only began discussing the role of the criminality of the Jewish mafia by late-2009, three years AFTER we had been black-listed by the media.

Therefore, no one can say that our criticism of the Jewish mafia led to Mike being black-listed (not that it would even be acceptable).  

If you dare to expose Jewish control or anything under Jewish control, you will be black-balled by all media so the masses will never hear the truth.

Just remember this. Mike does not have to do what he is doing. 

Instead, he could do what everyone else does and focus on making money. 

He has already sacrificed a huge fortune to speak the truth hoping to help people steer clear of fraudsters and to educate people as to the realities in order to prevent the complete enslavement of world citizenry. 

  

Rules to Remember

Rule #1: Those With Significant Exposure Are NOT on Your Side.  

No one who has significant exposure should ever be trusted. Such individuals should be assumed to be gatekeepers until proven otherwise.  I have never found an exception to this rule.

Understand that those responsible for permitting or even facilitating exposure have given exposure to specific individuals for a very good reason. And that reason does not serve your best interests. 

In short, I have significant empirical evidence to conclude that everyone who has a significant amount of exposure has been bought off (in some way) by those seeking to distort reality and control the masses. This is not a difficult concept to grasp. It's propaganda 101.   

Rule #2: Con Artists Like to Form Syndicates.

Before the Internet was created, con artists were largely on their own. Once the Internet was released to the civilian population, con artists realized that digital connectivity could amplify their reach, and thus the effectiveness of their mind control tactics. This meant digital connectivity could amplify the money con artists extract from their victims by forming alliances with other con artists.

Teaming up with con artists leads to a significantly greater volume of content and distraction, such that victims of these con artists are more likely to remain trapped within the web of deceit, as well as being more convinced that their favorite con artist is legit. 

Whenever you wish to know whether someone can be trusted, always remember this golden rule..."a man is judged by the company he keeps." This is a very important rule to remember because con men almost always belong to the same network.  You will see the same con artists interviewing each other,referencing each other, (e.g. a hat tip) on the same blog rolls, attending the same conferences, mentioning their con artist peers, and so forth.

Rule #3: There's NO Free Lunch.  

Whenever something is marketed as being "free" you can bet the item or service is either useless or else the ultimate price you'll pay will be much greater than if you had paid money for it in the beginning. 

You should always seek to establish a monetary relationship with all vendors because this establishes a financial link between you the customer and the vendor. Therefore, the vendor will tend to serve and protect your best interests because you pay his bills. 

Those who use the goods and services from vendors who offer their products for free will treated not as customers, but as products, because these vendors will exploit users who are obtaining  their products for free in order to generate income.   

Use of free emails, free social media, free content is all complete garbage designed to obtain your data and sell it to digital marketing firms.

From there you will be brainwashed with cleverly designed ads. You will be monitored and your identity wil eventually be stolen. 

Fraudsters often pitch the "free" line in order to lure greedy people who think they can get something for free. 

Perhaps now you understand why the system of globalized trade was named "free trade." 

As you might appreciate, free trade has been a complete disaster and scam designed to enrich the wealthy at the expense of the poor. 

There are too many examples of goods and services positioned as being free, when in reality, the customers get screwed.  

Rule #4: Beware of Manipulation Using Word Games. 

When manipulators want to get the masses to side with their propaganda and ditch more legitimate alternatives they often select psychologically relevant labels to indicate positive or negative impressions.

For instance, the financial parasites running America's medical-industrial complex have designated the term "socialized medicine" to replace the original, more accurate term, "universal healthcare." This play on words has been done to sway the masses from so much as even investigating universal healthcare, because the criminals want to keep defrauding people with their so-called "market-based" healthcare scam, which has accounted for the number one cause of personal bankruptcies in the USA for many years.  

When Wall Street wanted to convince the American people to go along with NAFTA, they used the term "free trade" to describe the current system of trade which has devastated the U.S. labor force.

In reality, free trade is unfair trade and only benefits the wealthy and large corporations.

There are many examples on this play on words such as the "sharing economy" and so on.  

Rule #5: Whenever Someone Promotes Something that Offers to Empower You, It's Usually a Scam.

This applies to the life coaches, self-help nonsense, libertarian pitches, FIRE movement, and so on.

If it sounds too good to be true, it usually is.

Unlike what the corporate fascists claim, we DO need government.

And no, you can NOT become financially independent and retire early unless you sell this con game to suckers.  

Rule #6: "Never argue with stupid people. They will drag you down to their level and then beat you with experience." –Mark Twain

Following this rule is forcing the small and dewindling group of intelligent people left in the world to cease interacting with people. 

You might need to get accustomed to being alone if you're intelligent and would rather not waste your time arguing with someone who is so ignorant, that they have no chance to realize what's really going in this world. 

It would seem that Dunning-Kruger has engulfed much of the population, especially in the West.     

Start Here

Blast from the Past: Real Estate Then and Now

This is just a reminder to those who don't know about me. 

Originally posted June 14, 2009

I thought I’d take a look at where we are currently in real estate versus what I predicted a few years ago for those of you who never read either of my books which detailed this mess.

And of course, I also wanted to remind you that the so-called experts really have no idea what’s going on. Rather than forecasters and investment strategists, they’re broadcasters and extremists.

Now, this is somewhat of a marketing piece. However, as you will see, there are no bogus claims….just verifiable facts. I’m going to show you just a small bit of my track record.

Just so that I am perfectly clear about my intentions…

I’m doing this for 3 reasons.

#1 – I want you to know my track record so you can decide who to listen to.

#2 – I want you to ask yourself why the media would black-ball me. 

#3 – I want to remind you how you can’t trust anything from the media.

 

So let’s begin.

One of the most closely followed measures of real estate prices is the Case-Shiller Index. This of course tracks average home values based on recent single-family homes sold in 20 major metropolitan areas across the United States. It is run principally by Karl Case and Robert Shiller.

Last month, the results were bad.

 
 
 
 

This past month, the bad news continues.

Amidst all of the media coverage, instead of real experts, what you see are data collectors (Robert Shiller), perpetual doomers (Roubini, Schiff, Krugman and others), and hindsight clowns who are only jumping aboard now that things are obvious (everyone on CNBC, FBN, radio, and various financial websites).

Yet, as the facts show, the entire group of these “experts” (labeled as such by the media) has very little credibility based on their track record, which includes the perpetual doom forecasters.

Make no mistake, while these “experts” are media clowns, some of them actually have some value to add; but only if you were completely clueless. 

The problem is that not a single one of them are real experts in this economic mess because not a single one made specific forecasts that materialized. Some of them made forecasts that were completely wrong, costing those who followed them BIG money. Thus, without getting the full picture, these guys can be dangerous.

For instance, when I want real estate or historical stock market data, I would go to Shiller; but certainly not for forecasting or investment guidance. You need to learn to use Shiller for what he is good for and that is data collection. Even his book, “The Subprime Crisis” is a waste of time. It’s complete garbage in my opinion. I urge you to get a copy yourself if you doubt me. 

In none of the cases I have mentioned would I look these individuals for a comprehensive understanding of what is going on because quite frankly, based upon what I have seen and heard from them, they don’t know. But the media continues to insist they do. And most people believe what the media says. That’s part of the game.

And I certainly wouldn’t go to them for anything related to investments. The problem is that most people are much more clueless, so when they hear or read what these guys have to say, they think they really know what’s going on. This is the same reason why I say they’re clueless; because it’s all relative right? 

Relative to my insights, they’re lost; relative to you they seem to know what’s up. But therein lays the danger because if you aren’t given the full picture, you’ll be in as much trouble as if you remained completely blind. In some cases, you might even be worse off.

For example, consider reports from Peter Schiff’s clients. Apparently, they did much worse than the overall market. In my opinion, a much better title for his book would be “The Economy for Dummies.”

While some might say that want such an approach, if you really think you can make money from such a simplistic view of the economy, I’m here to tell you that you’re very wrong. 

The truly smart money (what little there is out there) realizes all of this. And they certainly don’t go to these guys. The reality is that these “experts” who have been labeled by the media as such are for retail investors; the sheep who watch CNBC and FBN. The sheep continue to be herded by the fluff from the mainstream media and their hand-picked “experts.” 

Some of these so-called experts are nothing more than snake-oil sales men, looking to make money on commissions from you, while others have spent most of their careers sitting in their office on a college campus, and thus have no clue about the real world.

Yet, these are the ONLY guys the media offers you because they serve the media’s agendas. These are the facts, so I suggest you wake up and stop checking in with the mainstream media when you want to find out what’s happening. Otherwise, you will continue to remain in the dark.

The media black-balled me and continues to today for a very good reason. They do not want to air my expertise on the economy and stock market, despite the fact that my 2006 book, “America’s Financial Apocalypse” alone is direct evidence that I stand alone as the leading expert in America’s Second Great Depression.

My predictions are irrefutable and many have already materialized with stunning accuracy. The media wouldn’t want someone like me around…a real expert with a remarkable track record… an expert who laid out a case for permanent decline for America (although I end my book with a statement of hope)… because it’s political and cultural taboo to speak of such a devastating decline.

It’s also a sin in the eyes of Wall Street. And when you are running a business (the financial media) you will protect the interests of your biggest customers (Wall Street).

 
 

But after everyone has lost most of what they have, whether it’s their job, home or retirement savings, the media will step in and change from the denial phase to the doomsday mentality. And they do this because Wall Street wants investors to throw in the towel and sell everything so they can buy it on the cheap. You might recall the same thing played out just a few years ago during the dotcom charade.

Only after you have seen your investments get cut in half will the financial media air views contrary to the bubble mentality.

But they interview and feature doomers and others who have predictions that make mine look benign; guys in the “media club.” They stay within the boundaries laid out by the media so that their financial and political agendas are held intact.

This is the way it works I can assure you.

 
 
 
 
 
 

You see, America’s entire media industry is controlled by only a few men, so they not only have financial agendas (i.e. almost all of their revenues come from corporate America and Wall Street), but they also have political agendas. My clear identification of the problems and solutions to this depression, detailed over two years before it began would upset both their financial and political leaders. 

So now, I will show you just a few excerpts from one chapter (of eighteen) from my 2006 book, America’s Financial Apocalypse, so you can see that no one else made warnings with such accuracy and detail as I.

With just this tiny sampling of my excerpts, should be able to decide who the real expert is. Once you put the pieces of the puzzle together, you’ll understand why the media black-balled me.

So let’s begin…

From Chapter 10 of America’s Financial Apocalypse (2006)…

“In many parts of America, home prices have risen as high as 150 percent in just a few years. Amongst the cities with the biggest housing bubbles are Phoenix, Las Vegas, Portland, Los Angeles, Boston, San Diego, San Francisco, Miami, and Washington D.C. As well, much of California and Florida have experienced a huge surge in home prices in just a few years.”  

“At its bottom, I would estimate a 30 to 35 percent correction for the average home. And in ‘hot spots’ such as Las Vegas, selected areas of Northern and Southern California and Florida, home prices could plummet by 55 to 60 percent from peak values.

 

The “Poor Effect”

     “Considerable research has shown that Americans view their homes as a significant portion of their future wealth. Therefore, when home prices increase rapidly, they save less. Instead, they consume excessively because they feel richer than before (i.e. the “wealth effect”). A similar situation occurs during bullish stock markets, as previously discussed. But can not the opposite be true as well?”

“Across the nation, even if we assume a very conservative 20 percent correction, there would still be several major regions that would experience declines of 35 to 40 percent. Declines of this magnitude would wipe out the wealth effect, as many watch their home equity evaporate into thin air. This will not only halt consumer spending, but it will also force millions of foreclosures across America, causing housing inventories to rise, which could cause a further collapse in home prices. The aftermath of record foreclosures will send shockwaves to the stock and bond markets.” 

“This will cause a record number of foreclosures, as over 10 million are possible within the next 6 to 8 years.”

“According to the Federal Reserve Board, American home owners extracted $600 billion in equity from their homes in 2004 (up by $39 billion from 2003) and spent half of this money on goods and services. This $300 billion accounted for 40 percent of the GDP growth in 2004. Between 2003 and 2004 alone, the Federal Reserve estimates that Americans tapped into over $1 trillion of equity from their homes using home equity loans, refinancings, and cash-out purchases at closing (figure 10-19). Alone, these cash-out financings have been estimated to account for a significant portion of inflated values during the more recent stages of the bubble. It has been this source of credit that has fueled the primary portion of GDP growth since 2003.”  

“Ironically, it has been the flight from the scandals of the recent stock market bubble that have caused many to seek real estate as a “safe” investment alternative. And while the stock market is by no means finished correcting from the bull market period of the 1990s, we now have a real estate bubble that must also correct.”

Washington has permitted this industry to engage in irresponsible lending practices to increase access to credit for the purpose of fueling the phantom recovery. This has served to enhance consumer spending that has boosted many industry wages; fees and commissions of brokers in the real estate and mortgage industry, commercial banking salaries, and revenues in all industries as a result of reckless debt spending. Hence, without this real estate bubble, there would be very few signs of improvement in the economy since 2003.”  

“As well, remember that the majority of government discretionary spending items have been for Iraq, Afghanistan, Katrina, and homeland security—none of which resulted in a direct improvement in living standards, as normally implied by GDP numbers. Therefore, if we adjust for the effects of spending due to credit released from the real estate bubble and due to government expenditures that have not resulted in an improved economic benefit, America has actually registered negative GDP growth since 2003. Yet, aided by the loose monetary policies of Greenspan, the financial industry has helped create the illusion of a recovery.”

“Even the riskiest of these loans can be manipulated into AAA-rated debt and sold to pensions and other large funds because the same standards that apply to corporate debt are not applied to collateralized debt products.

In addition, these ratings do not account for whether investors will receive a return on principal.”  

And since companies that securitize these loans are not regulated like banks, they don’t have a capital requirement that would ensure adequate reserves to fund payments to investors.” 

“Because Fannie and Freddie lack sufficient government oversight, they haven’t maintained adequate capital reserves needed to safeguard the security of payments to investors. And due to exemption from the SEC Act of 1933, they aren’t required to reveal their financial position. In fact, they’re the only publicly traded companies in the Fortune 500 exempt from routine SEC disclosures required for adequate transparency and investor accountability. Exemption from the Act of 1933 also releases the GSEs from adherence to rules governing tender offers and public reporting of insider stock transactions. Finally, they’re not required to register their debt offerings with the SEC, which diminishes transparency further.”

“What would happen if one or more GSE (i.e. Fannie or Freddie) got into financial trouble? Not only would investors get crushed, but taxpayers would have to bail them out since the GSEs are backed by the government. Everyone would feel the effects. With close to $2 trillion in debt between Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae alone, as well as several trillion held by commercial banks, failure of just one GSE or related entity could create a huge disaster that would easily eclipse the Savings & Loan Crisis of the late 1980s.”

“Furthermore, the GSEs have created very risky derivatives exposures for themselves and many financial institutions.  

As these debt instruments evolve into different products, less transparency and more uncertainty is created. These mortgage derivatives are complex and considered very speculative.”

“I want you to stop and think for a minute about all of the fraudulent practices that have occurred within the housing industry, from known problems of poor workmanship and cheap materials by some builders, to inflated appraisals performed to generate ease of lending and to support cash-out deals.”

From inflated appraisals alone, 10 to 15 percent of MBS securities or up to $1.5 trillion have been overvalued by conservative estimates. Combine that with the lack of transparency, questionable risk exposure and fraudulent practices by executives at Fannie and Freddie, and you have a disaster ready to strike.”

“Now combine that with over 10 million Americans holding interest-only and ARM mortgages, throw in a million or two job losses due to say the failure of Delta, Ford, General Motors, or some other large vulnerable company, and you could end up with a blowup in the MBS market. This scenario would devastate the stock, bond and real estate markets. Most likely, there would also be an even bigger mess in the swaps and derivatives markets. In conclusion, the collateralized securities market is a very tall and fragile house of cards poised to collapse, and all it might take is one card to be dislodged.”

“The real estate fallout will no doubt cripple smaller companies such as mortgage lenders, home builders, and home improvement stores. But it will also affect huge financial institutions such as Citigroup, Bank of America, Chase, General Motors (GMAC), General Electric (GE Finance), and Washington Mutual, depending upon the extent of their exposure. As well, if things get really nasty the credit problems could extend to the ABS market which would cause further devastation.”

“Based on today’s grossly overvalued housing prices, a 35 percent correction on average seems very likely. And in some areas, a 50 to 60 percent correction is possible.   

Most likely, it will take several years for the real estate washout to be completed. We can only hope that the MBS market doesn’t experience its first blow up since inception, but don’t bet on it.”

“Under normal conditions, anywhere from 25 to 30 percent of the U.S. economy is directly affected by the housing sector. However, due to exaggerated asset prices from the housing bubble, this share is significantly higher. I have shown the magnified effects of a loss of housing value on home equity, but this also has a magnified affect on the stock market because the wealth effect is reversed, resulting in dampened consumer spending. Accordingly, numerous studies have shown that housing prices have up to two times the effect on consumer spending as they do on declines in stock prices. Consequently, if housing prices decline by 25 percent, the economic impact will be as if the stock market declined by 50 percent.”   

That’s what you call real forecasting, real insight, and real guidance from a real expert.

Not scare tactics and extremist doom scenarios with generalizations positioned to sell you investments or pump up the gold market.

But remember, there are 17 additional chapters.

Remember, this book was released in 2006.

Now look at what has happened since the 2006 release of my book…

Nationwide, median real estate prices are down by an average of over 30% from the peak reached in 2006, and still declining.

Nearly all of the cities/regions I warned about are down by 50-60%. 

The stock market has already declined by over 55% (the real estate/stock market double whammy effect) as I warned.

- The MBS and ABS market has blown up. 

- My warnings about the derivatives blowup have materialized. 

- My warnings of Fannie and Freddie failure have materialized. 

- My warnings of a Fannie and Freddie bailout materialized. 

- The banking system has collapsed. 

- My warnings of major problems for GM and GE materialized.

All of these things were predicted based upon exhaustive analysis and data in my book; some 300 figures, tables and charts and over 700 references for the entire book. Try finding anywhere near that in any other book. Don’t bother wasting your time because you won’t find it.

Remember, this was just from my real estate chapter in America’s Financial Apocalypse.

You might also recall the specific guidance I provided in my other book, Cashing in on the real Estate Bubble, released in early 2007 whereby I show readers how to short the mortgage, banks and homebuilders.

As you can see, I advised readers to consider shorting FNM, FRE, LEND, NFI, FMT, C, BAC, JPM, WM, LEN, BZH, TOL, KBH, and CTX.

Those who followed my guidance would have gained up to 95% on average.

All for a $25 book!

Let's get serious. This isn't a book. It's world'class investment research.

Read the book and see for yourself.

So now, please tell me who the leading expert of this economic collapse is.

Who might you think would best know what to expect in the future?

>> Guys who didn’t truly understand what was going on?

>> Or someone who made specific warnings and forecasts, all of which have materialized?

As well, I recommended gold, oil trusts, healthcare, TIPS, china and lots of cash to use when the market sold off.

I also made predictions no one else who saw this coming did such as a major correction in commodities and so on. And much more.

Once you read America’s Financial Apocalypse, you will see for yourself. And you will know much of what will happen for the next several years.

Don’t you think it’s time for you to start asking the reporters from print media such as the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Washington Post, Financial Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, Business Week, Time Magazine, Reuters, Associated Press, USA Today

…and producers and hosts on ABC, CBS, FOX, FBN, NBC, CNBC, MSNBC, CNN, PBS, all of the syndicated radio shows…

Why they haven’t interviewed me?

WHY ARE THEY HIDING MY INSIGHTS FROM THE PUBLIC?

WHY HAVE THEY BLACK-BALLED ME?

I can assure you many of them have my book and most of them know well who I am and are familiar with my predictions. They were ALL contacted several times over the past three years.

Yet, they continue to interview hacks and clowns who have been wrong over and over. Check their track records and see for yourself.

If you don’t take action and demand answers from these hacks, they will continue this game over and over.

By now, you should know why they hide the truth. If not, you need to read my articles on media deception.

Fact is, after demonstrating the absolute best accuracy in predicting this mess, I am best poised to understand what will happen and what the solutions are. Yet, the media has no desire to hear my views.

Let them know YOU know why.

Tell them you aren’t going to fall for their games anymore.

Tell them you aren’t going to watch, read or listen to their trash anymore.

Perhaps even more important than my leading expertise in this depression is the fact that I don’t deal in securities so I have no bias and no agendas.

I get paid to be righT

Who else can make that claim and still have an excellent track record? 

My intent is not to boast. My intent is to show you my track record so that you will understand that for the media to ban me is clear evidence that they are out to screw you. 

You need to understand this. You need to SPREAD this to EVERYONE.

The cycle of lies and deceit by the media will never end until enough people understand what's going on and demand an end to it.

Simply STOP PROVIDING THE MEDIA WITH AN AUDIENCE. 

Without an audience they will file for bankruptcy.  Their audience is required in order to seek interest from corporate sponsors.   

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