Opening Statement from the May 2016 CCPM Forecaster
Originally published on May 1, 2016
Although the selloff in the USD continues, the longer-term trend remains bullish. The USD not only failed to bounce off its support at 94, it barely even took notice that this represented a technical support. This price action should have been interpreted as an indication that a more severe bearish move was forthcoming.
Once the USD Index declines below 92, there is a good chance the longer-term bullish trend will reverse into a bearish trend. But we would wait for a selloff in the USD Index below 90 to confirm this reversal. We must also consider other factors prior to forming this conclusion.
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